Provocations and Iran strategic restraint/patience
The killing of an Iranian nuclear scientist fits a precise strategy by US outgoing Administration, Israel and a reluctant Saudi Arabia
A few days ago I predicted possible provocations to Iran to hopefully trigger its reaction and make scorched earth to Biden Administration’s announced intention to re-join the nuclear deal with Iran (https://www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/iran-nuclear-deal-trump-aims-leave-poisoned-legacy-biden). After the “secret/leaked” meeting” among Prime Minister Netanyahu, Crown Prince MbS and SoS Pompeo last Sunday, an Iranian nuclear scientist was provocatively killed in Iran (https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/iran-nuclear-top-scientist-assassinated-reports). The murder resembles to Mossad’s modus operandi. It is still not clear if this act is a plan B respect to a more massive strike that Netanyahu advocated unsuccessfully with MbS during their recent “secret/leaked” meeting or something bigger is expected to come (https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/saudi-arabia-israel-iran-mbs-us-attack-reluctant). The real issue is if this time Teheran will fall in the trap of the provocation. My sense is that Teheran did not reply properly when Qassem Soleimani was killed I wonder why it should massively react now for one of his scientists? Strategic restraint/patience still appears - for the time being - the best strategy for Iran.